
PUBLICATIONS
Book
Rebuilding Arab Defense: US Security Cooperation in the Middle East (Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, May 2022)
Paper/Journal Article
Beyond Train and Equip in U.S. Security Cooperation, Military Review, October 2023
Saudi Arabia's Deterrence Options Against Iran, Policy Brief, Middle East Institute, August 2023
US Security Cooperation Deserves A Fair Evaluation, War on the Rocks, May 2, 2023
After Oil-For-Security: A Blueprint For Resetting US-Saudi Security Relations, Middle East Institute, February 17, 2023
America's Defence of Its Partners in the Middle East, Survival, Vol. 64. No. 2 (December 2022)
Beyond Post-Desert Storm: How to Elevate the US-Kuwait Security Partnership, Middle East Institute, September 14, 2022
Biden's Middle East Trip: What It Means And What's Next, Middle East Institute, July 21, 2022 (with Kevin Donegan, Mike Nagata, Mick Mulroy, and Joseph Votel)
The Other Saudi Transformation, Middle East Policy, Summer 2022 Issue
US-Gulf Relations at the Crossroads: Time for a Recalibration, Middle East Institute, April 5, 2022
Enabling US Security Cooperation, Survival, Vol. 63, No. 4 (August/September 2021), pp. 89-99
Blindsiding the Gulf, The National Interest, No. 168, July/August Issue 2020
Battered Survivor: Hezbollah At Home and Abroad (Ed), Roundtable Report, Middle East Institute, February 2020
Broken Partnerships: Can Washington Get Security Cooperation Right?, The Washington Quarterly, Fall 2019 Issue
Beyond the Proxy Powder Keg: The Specter of War Between Saudi Arabia and Iran, Middle East Institute, May 2018
Atomic Bonds in an Age of Entropy: The Pursuit of a Nuclear Security Framework in the Middle East, The Century Foundation, February 2018 (with Nilsu Goren)
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The Cost of Military Aid, The National Interest, March/April 2018 Issue
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Iran's Long Game in Bahrain, Atlantic Council, December 2017
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U.S. Strategy Options for Iran's Regional Challenge, Atlantic Council, October 2017 (with Kenneth M. Pollack)
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Countering Iran, The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 30. No. 1 (Fall 2017), pp. 97-108 (with Kenneth M. Pollack)
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A Gulf in the Gulf?, The American Interest, Vol. 12, No. 3 (Jan/Feb 2017)
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Precision Fire: A Strategic Assessment of Iran's Conventional Missile Program, Atlantic Council, September 2016 (with Michael Elleman)
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Bahrain's Inconvenient Truths, Atlantic Council, July 2016
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After Hub-And-Spoke: US Hegemony In A New Gulf Security Order, Atlantic Council, April 2016
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ISIS War Game III: The Final Phase, Atlantic Council, December 2015
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The New Containment: Changing America's Approach to Middle East Security, Atlantic Council, July 2015
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Beyond Camp David: A Gradualist Strategy to Upgrade the US-Gulf Security Partnership, Atlantic Council, May 2015 (with Barry Pavel)
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ISIS War Game II: The Escalation Challenge, Atlantic Council, March 2015 (with Michael S. Tyson)
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Artful Balance: Future US Defense Strategy and Force Posture in the Gulf, Atlantic Council, March 2015 (with Barry Pavel)
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Hezbollah in a Time of Transition, Atlantic Council and Brookings, November 2014 (with Daniel Byman)
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ISIS War Game: The Coming Stalemate, Atlantic CouncilOctober 2014 (with Michael S. Tyson)
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"The Future of Arms Control in the Middle East," in Regional Security Dialogue in the Middle East: Changes, Challenges, and Opportunities (London: Taylor & Francis, July 2014)
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The Gulf Rising: Defense Industrialization in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, Atlantic Council, May 2014
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Nuclear Strategy and Posture Trump Size, Nonproliferation Review, Vol. 20, No. 3 (November 2013)
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The Future of Arms Control in the Middle East, Middle East Journal, Vol. 67, No. 3 (Summer 2013), pp. 426-436
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The 2012 Conference on a Weapons of Mass Destruction-Free Zone in the Middle East: Prospects, Challenges, and Opportunities, A Special Roundtable Report, The Center for Nonproliferation Studies (July 2012)
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A Review of Warriors of God: Inside Hezbollah's Thirty Year Struggle Against Israel, Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, Vol. 35, No. 5 (May 2012), pp. 405-409
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The Next War: How Another Conflict Between Hizballah and Israel Could Look and How Both Sides Are Preparing For It, (with Nicholas Blanford), Analysis Paper, Number 24, Brookings, August 2011
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Levantine Reset: Toward a more viable US strategy for Lebanon, Analysis Paper, Number 21, The Saban Center at Brookings, July 2010
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Criminality and Armed Groups: A Comparative Study of FARC and Paramilitary Groups in Columbia, (with Alexandra Taylor), Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, Vol. 32, No. 6, pp. 455–475, June 2009
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Rethinking Hizb’allah’s Disarmament, Middle East Policy, Vol. XV, No. 3, Fall 2008
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Securing Lebanon from the Threat of Salafist Jihadism, (with Magnus Ranstorp), Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, Vol. 30, No. 10, pp. 825-855 October 2007
Policy Brief
Excising the danger of peace in the Middle East, Al Majalla, October 11, 2023 (with Kenneth Pollack)
Key takeaways from Mohammed bin Salman's Fox interview, Al Majalla, September 22, 2023
The costs and benefits of Saudi-Israeli normalization, Al Majalla, September 14, 2023
Peace with Israel means war with Iran, Foreign Policy, August 30, 2023 (with Nickoo Azimpoor)
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Saudi Arabia can alleviate US concerns over its civilian nuclear energy program. Here's how., Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July 3, 2023 (with Chen Zak Kane)
Should the US be wary of Chinese military power in the Middle East?, Al Majalla, June 14, 2023 (with Melissa Horvath)
A Defense Pact Will Not Upgrade US-Saudi Security Relations, War on the Rocks, May 31, 2023
Managing US competition with China in the Middle East, Al Majalla, May 13, 2023 (with Melissa Horvath)
Career Advice for Rising Foreign Policy Professionals, Middle East Institute, April 28, 2023
Is Israel on 'red alert' yet?, Al Majalla, April 21, 2023
The Credibility of American Deterrence in the Middle East, Al Majalla, April 3, 2023
Why Washington Should Say No to Riyadh, Foreign Policy, March 21, 2023
US Aid to Saudi Arabia on Missile Defense Is Not Unconditional, Foreign Policy, June 24, 2022
Why Washington should provide direct cash payments to the Lebanese army, Middle East Institute, June 6, 2022
Special briefing: Lebanese elections reshape the political scene, Middle East Institute, May 18, 2022
How Biden can rebuild US ties with the Gulf states, Foreign Policy, April 4, 2022 (with Karen Young)
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A gradual reset with Saudi Arabia, Middle East Insight, February 22, 2022
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Integrated Air and Missile Defense Will Enhance Security in the Middle East, The National Interest, October 30, 2021
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The CIA is better than the U.S. military at creating foreign armies, Foreign Policy, August 31, 2021 (with Douglas London)
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The Roadblocks to a Regional Security Dialogue in the Middle East, Middle East Institute, April 2021
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Hezbollah Amid Lebanese Collapse, Lawfare, February 21, 2021
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What A New Iran Nuclear Deal Really Requires, Foreign Policy, January 27, 2021
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In Historic Deal with the UAE, Israel Is the Biggest Winner, Foreign Policy, August 13, 2020
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Regional Security from the Ground Up, MEI Insights, February 27, 2020 (with Chen Kane)
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Battered Survivor: Hezbollah At Home and Abroad (Ed), Roundtable Report, Middle East Institute, February 2020
Lebanon's Inconvenient Truths, MEI Insights, January 29, 2020
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Trump's Curious Multilateralism, Foreign Policy, January 28, 2020
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For Now, U.S. Troops Are Likely in Iraq To Stay, Foreign Policy, January 9, 2020 (with Michael P. Mulroy)
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Washington Should Back, Not Punish, the Lebanese Military, Foreign Policy, November 5, 2019
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Trump Is Sending More Troops to Saudi Arabia, Foreign Policy, October 16, 2019
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Arms Sales Can't Replace US Engagement in the Gulf, Foreign Policy, September 20, 2019
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The Coming Middle East Missile Arms Race, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, September 25, 2018
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Mohamed Bin Salman Unhinged? Maybe Not, American Interest, September 6, 2018
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Relocating the Fifth Fleet? It's Far From A No-Brainer, American Interest, August 22, 2018
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Iran's Options in Southern Syria, American Interest, June 8, 2018
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The Middle East's Next Big War? Saudi Arabia and Iran Could Be Just One Houthi Missile Away From War, American Interest, April 11, 2018
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The Middle East's Next Big Challenge: Nuclear Security, American Interest, November 30, 2017 (with Nilsu Goren)
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Fatah Fights Jihad in Lebanon, Foreign Affairs, May 2, 2017
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Can Mohamed Bin Salman Reshape Saudi Arabia?, Foreign Affairs, January 5, 2017
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Will Syria Be Hezbollah's Proving Ground Or Its Undoing?, World Politics Review, July 26, 2016 (with Nicholas Blanford)
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Lebanon's Deal with the Devil: The Prisoner Swap with Jabhat Al Nusra, Foreign Affairs, December 6, 2016
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Red-Teaming ISIS, MENA Source, Atlantic Council, November 18, 2015
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The Missing Ingredient in America's Middle East Policy, National Interest, July 27, 2015
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Can the House of Saud Survive ISIS?, Foreign Affairs, June 11, 2015
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A New Saudi Foreign Policy for a New Era, MENA Source, Atlantic Council, May 13, 2015
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A Fresh Start with the Gulf? How to Repair Ties with Washington's Arab Partners, Foreign Affairs, May 13, 2015 (with Barry Pavel)
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Houthi and the Blowback: Saudi Arabia Steps in to Yemen, Foreign Affairs, March 29, 2015
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Hezbollah Hesitates? The Group's Uncertain Transformation, Foreign Affairs, January 21, 2015 (with Daniel Byman)
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Riyadh's Oil Play: Why the Kingdom is Keeping Prices Low, Foreign Affairs, January 6, 2015 (with Robert A. Manning)
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Silent Partner: How Oman Became the Middle East's Indispensable Nation, Foreign Affairs, October 29, 2014
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Beyond Airstrikes: How the US Can Accelerate the Islamic State's Defeat, Defense One, September 5, 2014
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What the UAE Really Wants from NATO, Foreign Affairs, August 15, 2014
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The Dishonest Broker: Why Qatar's Peacemaking Shouldn't Be Trusted, Foreign Affairs, July 30, 2014
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Lebanon's Presidential Crisis Hangs on Saudi, Iranian Rivalry, World Politics Review, June 25, 2014
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Arms and Influence in the Gulf, Foreign Affairs, May 5, 2014
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The False Promise to a Piecemeal Approach to a WMD-Free Middle East, RUSI Newsbrief, March 7, 2014
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Breakup in the Gulf: What the GCC Dispute Means for Qatar, Foreign Affairs, March 6, 2014
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In Lebanon, New Government Unlikely to Herald New Political Era, World Politics Review, March 4, 2014
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Swapping Sovereignty: Can Iran and the UAE Make a Deal?, Foreign Affairs, January 19, 2014
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Getting to Zero in the Middle East, MENA Source at Atlantic Council, December 11, 2013
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The Incredible Shrinking Buffer, Foreign Affairs, October 28, 2013
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How Assad Might Strike Back (with Rex Brynen), Foreign Policy, August 28, 2013
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Forget the Second Carrier: It's Time to Think the Fifth Fleet in the Persian Gulf, Defense One, August 13, 2013
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Why Russia's Guns Won't Save Assad, Foreign Policy, July 19, 2013
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The Syrian Spillover and Salafist Radicalization in Lebanon, Sentinel at Combating Terrorism Center, Vol. 6, No. 7 (July 2013)
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Asia Pivot Step One: Ease Gulf Worries, National Interest, June 20, 2013
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The Death of Lebanon's Intelligence Tsar, Foreign Policy, October 22, 2012
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Unpacking Al-Qaeda's Presence in Syria, Jane's Islamic Affairs Analyst, September 27, 2012
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Axis of Resistance: Syrian Uprising Threatens Hezbollah's Strategic Alliances, IHS Defense, Risk, and Security Consulting, September 2012
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Assad's Toxic Assets (with Chen Kane and Leonard Spector), Foreign Policy, March 13, 2012
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No Hotline to Tehran, National Interest, February 10, 2012
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The Futility of Predicting Iran's Future, Foreign Policy, February 2, 2012
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A New Hamas in the Making?, National Interest, December 20, 2011
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Ominous New Struggle for Hezbollah, National Interest, October 24, 2011
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Can Libya Be Locked Down, WMD Junction, September 22, 2011
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Seeing Red Along the Blue Line (with Nicholas Blanford), Foreign Policy, July 29, 2011
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Israel, Hezbollah, and the Shadow of Imad Muhgniyeh, Sentinel at Combating Terrorism Center, June 2011
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Will the Syrian Army Join the Dissent Movement?, Foreign Policy, May 4, 2011
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Syria Goes to War, National Interest, April 4, 2011
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Lebanon's Unfulfilled Promise, Foreign Affairs, October 19, 2010
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What Do Red Teams Really Do?, Foreign Policy, September 3, 2010
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Iran: Blind Man's Bluff, Foreign Policy, March 30, 2010
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Lebanon at Risk from Salafi Jihadi Terrorist Cells, Sentinel at Combating Terrorism Center, February 3, 2010
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The Failure of Salafi Jihadi Movements in the Levant, Sentinel at Combating Terrorism Center, September 2009
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Al-Qaeda's Presence and Influence in Lebanon, Sentinel at Combating Terrorism Center, November 2008
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Shaping Lebanon's Future, Brookings Middle East Memo No. 12, March 19, 2008
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Fatah Al Islam: How An Ambitious Jihadist Project Went Awry (with Magnus Ranstorp), Brookings and the Swedish National Defence College, October 28, 2007
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Scenarios: Lebanon's Presidential Elections, Jane's Intelligence Review, October 25, 2007
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Al-Qaeda's Terrorist Threat to UNIFIL (with Magnus Ranstorp), Brookings and Swedish National Defence College, June 2007
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Expanding the Jihad: Hezbollah's Sunni Islamist Network (with Bruce Riedel), Brookings, February 1, 2007
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Saudi Reform: A Balance Between Reformers and Conservatives, Daily Star, April 3, 2004
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Saudi Arabia: A Year After the Invasion of Iraq, Daily Star, April 2, 2004
Op-ed
The closer Israel gets to destroying Hamas, the more likely war with Hezbollah becomes, Chatham House, November 17, 2023
Israel's 'second stage' ground operation is proof its priorities have changed, The Guardian, October 30, 2023
The hell of Israel's ground invasion, Al Majalla, October 24, 2023
Israel can damage Hamas but a ground invasion of Gaza will be challenging, The National, October 24, 2023
Israel has the capacity to significantly damage Hamas with a ground offensive. But politics will restrain it throughout, Chatham House, October 17, 2023
Will Hezbollah ignite Israel's northern front?, The Hill, October 16, 2023
The Future of America's Middle East Posture Is Now, Al Majalla, August 8, 2023
A defense treaty is not how Biden should fix the Saudi relationship, Defense One, August 2, 2023
Effectiveness, not size, key to US involvement in the Middle East, Al Majalla, July 29, 2023
The False Promise of Washington's foreign military sales reforms, Arab News, July 6, 2023
The US and NATO must team up in the Gulf, Arab News, April 18, 2023
In dreams of a formal Gulf-US defense pact, what would Washington get?, Breaking Defense, April 14, 2023
How to Advance US-Saudi Defense Cooperation, Defense One, April 6, 2023 (with Kevin Donegan)
Why the Saudi-Iran deal changes little in regional security, Arab News, March 17, 2023
What NAVCENT's Task Force 59 Needs To Be A True Success, Breaking Defense, March 1, 2023 (with Jasmin Alsaied)
The Risks of De-escalation, Defense One, February 15, 2023
Deterring by detection: A cheap, successful way to deter Iran, Breaking Defense, December 12, 2022 (with Franck McKenzie)
The Future-Seeking, Team-Building 5th Fleet Is Busier Than Ever, Defense One, December 6, 2022 (with Vice Admiral Brad Cooper)
How to Overcome the Pitfalls of the Saudi-Iran Dialogue, Lawfare, September 25, 2022 (with James Jeffrey)
CENTCOM's Got a New Mission. It Needs More Support, Defense One, September 13, 2022
Trump Didn't Kill the Carter Doctrine - It Was Born Dead, The National Interest, August 22, 2022
Could Ukraine offer a template for better US-Gulf security relations?, Defense One, May 17, 2022 (with Melissa Horvath)
The Security Dimension of the Abraham Accords, Defense One, April 26, 2022
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US Response Options to Growing Houthi Attacks, MEI Insight, January 25, 2022 (with Joseph Votel, Mick Mulroy, Kevin Donegan, and Michael Nagata)
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How Involved Was Iran in the Houthi Attack on the UAE?, MEI Insight, January 20, 2022
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Washington Must Lay Down Its Red Lines to Iran, The National, December 13, 2021
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Diplomacy Is the Key to Reducing US Forces in the Mideast, Defense One, December 6, 2021 (with Barry Pavel)
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Don't Arm the Afghan Resistance, Foreign Policy, October 5, 2021
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The CIA is better than the U.S. military at creating foreign armies, Foreign Policy, August 31, 2021 (with Douglas London)
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Biden Must Keep U.S. Operatives in Afghanistan to Enable Counterterrorism Mission, TIME, August 23, 2021 (with Mick Mulroy)
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Move the US-Iraq Relationship Out of Crisis Mode, Defense One, August 9, 2021
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Mr. President, keep the military advisors in Afghanistan, July 12, 2021
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The Lebanese Army Needs Cash, Foreign Policy, June 18, 2021
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The Threat of Armed Drones: Solutions Will Come, But They May Not Be Cost-Effective, Middle East Institute, June 10, 2021
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The Military Lesson of Afghanistan, MEI Insights, April 15, 2021
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Biden's Idea for a Saudi Offensive Arms Halt Is Unfeasible, Defense One, March 16, 2021
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What A New Iran Nuclear Deal Really Requires, Foreign Policy, January 27, 2021
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Can US CENTCOM Afford Israel?, The National, January 26, 2021 (with Michael P. Mulroy)
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Guidance for a new force posture in the Middle East, MEI, January 14, 2021
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Lebanon's civil society holds key to national rehabilitation, ABC News, January 7, 2021
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Why the premature verdict on Lloyd Austin?, MEI Insights, December 9, 2020
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Esper's Curious Partners-and-Allies Initiative, Defense One, October 30, 2020
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The Coming F-35 Fiasco, Defense One, October 8, 2020
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The Politics of Saudi Normalization with Israel, ABC News, October 1, 2020
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Qatar's Likely and Long-Overdue Major Non-NATO Ally Status, MEI Monday Briefing, September 21, 2020
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After Deadly Beirut Explosion, Lebanese Army Must Maintain Neutrality, ABC News, August 18, 2020 (with Joseph Votel)
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In Historic Deal with the UAE, Israel Is the Biggest Winner, Foreign Policy, August 13, 2020
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A Silver Lining in Lebanon?, MEI Insights, August 7, 2020
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Iran's Latest Naval Drill Is Embarrassing, MEI Insights, July 29, 2020
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We Need a Better China Policy in the Middle East, Defense One, July 28, 2020 (with Joseph Votel)
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Israel Annexation Plan Diminishes Hope for Better Ties with Gulf Arab States, NPR, June 30, 2020 (with Charlotte Armistead)
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Gulf Partners can no longer afford to stay the course with U.S. Iran policy, NPR, May 15, 2020 (with Mick Mulroy)
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It's not about the Patriots, MEI Insights, May 8, 2020
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Lebanon Crisis: How the US Can Bypass Hezbollah and Help the People, The National, March 3, 2020
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Lebanon's Inconvenient Truths: A Brief Rejoinder, MEI Insights, February 3, 2020
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Lebanon's Inconvenient Truths, MEI Insights, January 29, 2020
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Can the New Lebanese Government Survive?, MEI Insights, January 22, 2020
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Washington Should Back, Not Punish, the Lebanese Military, Foreign Policy, November 5, 2019
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Hezbollah's Counterrevolution, MEI Insights, October 23, 2019
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Only Lebanon Can Save Lebanon, MEI Insights, October 18, 2019
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Trump Is Sending More Troops to Saudi Arabia, Foreign Policy, October 16, 2019
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For Saudi Arabia, What Now?, Defense One, September 23, 2019
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An Attack Against All in the Middle East, Middle East Institute, September 19, 2019
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Why Cutting Military Aid to Lebanon Would Be A Mistake, American Interest, July 27, 2018
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Can This Man Alter Lebanon's Political Landscape?, The National Interest, June 12, 2018
The United States Has Not Lost Lebanon, Foreign Policy, May 8, 2018
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Hezbollah After Lebanon's Elections, American Interest, May 3, 2018
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Trump's New Arms-Sales Policy Is Good But Sounds Awful, Defense one, April 27, 2018
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Limit Iran's missiles? Sure, but first come up with a plan, Middle East Institute, March 29, 2018
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Don't Let the Saudis Destabilize Lebanon, Foreign Affairs, November 20, 2017
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Trump's Iran Strategy Needs Much Improvement, Wall Street Journal, November 19, 2017 (with Kenneth Pollack)
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The Future of Saad Hariri, American Interest, November 10, 2017
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What Hariri's Resignation Means for Lebanon, Foreign Affairs, November 6, 2017
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Trump Goes to Saudi Arabia, Foreign Affairs, May 18, 2017
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Lebanon's New Head of State: Aoun Gets His Wish, Foreign Affairs, October 31, 2016
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Why an Iran-Saudi Arabia Conflict Is More Likely Today Than Ever Before, Newsweek, October 18, 2016
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In Yemen, a complicated conflict has yet to find the right solution, The National, October 10, 2016
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Neither Washington Nor Riyadh's Peace Plans in Yemen Will Work, MENA Source, Atlantic Council, September 22, 2016
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Ten Years After, the Threat of another Conflict Is Real, The National, August 22, 2016 (with Nicholas Blanford)
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Future Deterrence Frameworks for the GCC, Defense News, July 12, 2016
How Will Regional Security Change After Obama?, The National, July 12, 2016
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The Arab Peace Initiative Can and Should Be Revived, The National, May 15, 2016
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Obama's Last Chance to Change the Saudi Arabia Playbook, Defense One, April 20, 2016
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The United States Has No Gulf Allies: The Importance of Language, Foreign Affairs, April 12, 2016
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Back to Lebanon's Future: The Political Revival of the Country's Christians, Foreign Affairs, January 26, 2016
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Saudi Arabia's Plan in Syria, Foreign Affairs, December 18, 2015
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How to End Syria's War, Newsweek, December 18, 2015
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On ISIS, Obama Will Muddle Through For Another Year, Newsweek, November 11, 2015
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The UAE's Bold Choice in Yemen, Newsweek, September 23, 2015
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Iran Debates Its Regional Role, Atlantic Council, September 17, 2015
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Trashy Politics in Lebanon, Foreign Affairs, September 1, 2015
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Reassuring America's Gulf Arab Partners, National Interest, March 24, 2015 (with Barry Pavel)
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Middle East needed more attention in Obama's new National Security Strategy, Atlantic Council, February 6, 2015
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Saudi Arabia's Way Forward, Foreign Affairs, January 23, 2015
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ISIS Has a Choice to Make: Build a State or Super Terrorist Organization?, National Interest, July 1, 2014
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Why the Persian Gulf Isn't Ready for Joint Security, Defense One, June 19, 2014
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Blame These Two Countries, not the United States, for the Current Crisis in Iraq, New Republic, June 16, 2014
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For America's Gulf allies, anxiety is not a plan, National Interest, November 18, 2013
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What Not to Hit in Syria, CNN World (GPS with Fareed Zakaria), September 9, 2013
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Hezbollah under Fire, Foreign Affairs, August 16, 2013
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In Geneva, Help the Syrian Rebels Bargain from a Position of Strength, Foreign Policy, May 30, 2013
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Hezbollah makes it move: Why Lebanon's Najib Mikati resigned, Foreign Affairs, March 25, 2013
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No settlement in Damascus (with Andrew Tabler), Foreign Affairs, January 02, 2013
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Obama's Syria Red Line, The National Interest, December 04, 2012
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Obama's post-election Syria policy is unlikely to change, but it should, The Christian Science Monitor, November 14, 2012
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Will Syria enable al-Qaeda's resurgence in the Middle East?, CNN - Global Public Square, September 28, 2012
Hillary Clinton must insist on a united Syrian opposition, The Christian Science Monitor, August 10, 2012
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Why Lebanon is comfortably numb, Al-Monitor, June 25, 2012
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What the hell should we do about Syria?, Foreign Policy, May 30, 2012
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Assessing the al Qaeda Threat in Syria, The National Interest, May 29, 2012
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Al-Assad is shooting himself in the foot, CNN - Global Public Square, May 11, 2012
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Taking down Damascus in Moscow, The National Interest, April 18, 2012
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Why Damascus remains eerily calm, CNN - Global Public Square, February 18, 2012
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What a Syrian Civil War Means for US Policy, The National Interest, November 09, 2011
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Saudi Arabia goes after Syria, The Christian Science Monitor, August 31, 2011
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Libya endgame: Lessons for Syria’s protestors, The Christian Science Monitor, August 23, 2011
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Top 3 Reasons Assad is Here to Stay, For Now, The National Interest, June 30, 2011
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Long Road to Freedom: Seven Reasons Why the Syrian Protestors Have So Far Failed to Topple Assad, The Christian Science Monitor, June 09, 2011
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Obama's Middle East speech: Good but Irrelevant, The Christian Science Monitor, May 19, 2011
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Hezbollah on Offense (with Nicholas Blanford), The National Interest, March 08, 2011
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Lebanon's Future Turns on Indictment, The Baltimore Sun, January 18, 2011
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Beware of Radicalism in Lebanon's Prisons, The Daily Star, August 23, 2010
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High-Stake Hinge Moment for Hezbollah and Lebanon, The Christian Science Monitor, August 11, 2010
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Muslim Brotherhood and Liberals: Partners for Change in Egypt?, Common Ground News Service, July 20, 2010
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Why Syria will keep saying 'No' to Washington, The Christian Science Monitor, May 11, 2010
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Terror Alert: Let Us Protect UNIFIL and Fast (with Magnus Ranstorp), The Daily Star, Febryary 01, 2010
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What We Fear Most about the Mumbai Attacks, Brookings editorial, December 08, 2008
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Syria and Israel: Keep Them Talking (with Bruce Riedel), Haaretz, September 12, 2008
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Hezbollah and Al Qaeda (with Bruce Riedel), New York Times, April 09, 2007